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Hormegeddon: How Too Much Of A Good Thing Leads To Disaster, by Bill Bonner
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“Hormegeddon” is the term coined by entrepreneur and New York Times Bestselling Author Bill Bonner to describe what happens when you get too much of a good thing in the sphere of public policy, economics and business. Simply put, it ends in disaster.
Drawing on stories and examples from throughout modern political history—from Napoleon's invasion of Russia to the impending collapse of the American healthcare system, from the outbreak of WWII and the fall of the Third Reich to the 21st century War on Terror, from the Great Recession to the sovereign debt crisis—Bonner pursues a modest ambition: to understand what goes wrong.
History is not a clean yarn spun by its victors. It is a long tale of things that went FUBAR—debacles, disasters, and catastrophes. That each disaster carries with it a warning is what makes it useful to study. For instance, if the architect of a great ship tells you that ‘not even God himself could sink this ship,' you should take the next boat. If the stock market is selling at 20 times earnings and all the expert analysts urge you to ‘get in’ because you ‘can’t lose’—it’s time to get out!
Similarly, public policy disasters are what you get when well meaning people with this same Titanic degree of certitude apply rational, small-scale problem-solving logic to inappropriately large scale planning. First, you get a declining rate of return on your investment (of time or resources) until you hit zero. Then, if you keep going through the zero floor—and you always keep going—you get a disaster.
The problem is, these disasters cannot be stopped by well-informed smart people with good intentions, because they are the people who cause them in the first place.
From the mind of Bill Bonner comes Hormegeddon, a phenomenon that occurs when a small dose of something produces a favorable result, but if you increase the dosage, the results end in disaster. The same applies when the world gets too much of a good thing in public policy, economics, and business. Drawing on examples throughout modern political history, Bonner brings context and understanding to this largely ignored and anonymous phenomenon.
- Sales Rank: #37067 in Books
- Published on: 2014-08-29
- Original language: English
- Number of items: 1
- Dimensions: 9.00" h x .69" w x 6.00" l, .91 pounds
- Binding: Paperback
- 306 pages
Review
"This is a must, must, must read exposition of the side effect of government. It exposes the problem of naive interventionism, the iatrogenics of bureaucracies, and the growing absence of skin-in-the-game (Hammurabi's problem), in addition to the deformities of the modern state, and shows how such a system is bound to explode under the weight of fragility. It is deep, illustrative, witty, pleasant to read. Buy two copies, one for yourself, another for the nearest policy maker." - Nassim Nicholas Taleb, Distinguished Professor of Risk Engining, NYU, author of The Black Swan and Antifragile.
"I am seldom jealous of anybody, but I truly envy Bill Bonner's writing and intellectual skills. I read his notes every day because of his perfect prose and his deep insights into economics, and investment markets. But, Hormegeddon, is by far the best Bonner ever produced. It is funny, cynic, sarcastic, highly informative, beautifully written, entertaining, and most importantly, written by a man who is not afraid to tell the truth, and stand up for it. I do not say this often, but when I read his Hormegeddon, I was truly in awe." - Marc Faber, publisher of the Gloom Boom & Doom Report, director of investment advising firm Marc Faber Ltd.
About the Author
Bill Bonner is the co-author of the New York Times Best Selling books Financial Reckoning Day: Surviving the Soft Depression of the 21st Century, Empire of Debt: The Rise of an Epic Financial Crisis, and Mobs, Messiahs, and Markets: Surviving the Public Spectacle in Finance and Politics. He is also the founder and president of Agora Publishing and writes the daily financial newsletter Diary of a Rogue Economist. His daily letter is published in 4 countries and reaches more than 250,000 subscribers.
Most helpful customer reviews
7 of 7 people found the following review helpful.
Another moneygrabber.
By Mickster747
While I think it is a scholarly treatment of what our economic policies will most likely lead to, I resent the fact that there is not a single word regarding what the average taxpayer can do to survive any potential impending financial cataclysm. Clearly the author is reeling us in to spend more money to purchase more of his product once we agree that we are "in for it". The author may be entirely right in his assertions but he clearly wants to make a bundle of money from people buying his newsletters and publications. I am delighted that he can purchase a multimillion dollar secluded ranch. More power to him. Unfortunately if he had a deep concern for humanity, he would disseminate the solution to this problem for free. But then he might not be able to support his lavish life style. In the final analysis, his initial spiel says that he will ask for NO MONEY. As usual however he does. If you want to know how to protect yourself from this possible future, you have to pay him more.
43 of 46 people found the following review helpful.
Two Stars
By Lisa Harraway
A bit of a disappointment, since I love his columns. The same thing is said over and over again.
47 of 51 people found the following review helpful.
For a few dollars more...
By Brunolem
Bill Bonner is one of the rare wise men still living on this planet. He is also a brilliant writer. His new book is very well thought and documented, reminiscent of Nicolas Taleb writings. As a matter of fact, the latter happens to be the one who reviewed Bonner's book. Great minds...
Thanks to his considerable skills, Bill Bonner is also a very keen investor who has built an impressive fortune, a not so secret fact that he likes to share with his readers.
This leads me to wonder why he needs to charge almost 22 bucks for a Kindle edition of his latest book, much more than most famous writers charge for their books.
Doesn't too much money lead to hormegeddon?
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